Golf

Golf tips and analysis will appear here…

31st July 2012 Bridgestone Invitational

This week the PGA Tour heads for Ohio with the course at just under 7400 yards.  With seven par four holes at over 460 yards in length and two par 5’s the 16th being 667 yards, length off the tee is essential.  Also important will be the ability to play accurate long irons into the green.

Tiger Woods  5/1 has won here 7 times in the last 13 years and with his very impressive record on the tour this year has to be fancied here.  Although he had a poor final round at the Open, he was playing catch up and probably took more risks towards the end.  I do think that he hurt his knee when playing out of the bunker, so it will be interesting to see how he fares.

 

Luke Donald 14/1 was runner up here last year and has a solid if not spectacular game, but we know what happened with the tortoise and the hare.  He mightn’t have the length off the tee that some of the other players have but he is generally pretty accurate.

Hunter Mahan 25/1 is a previous winner here and has 3 top ten finishes, his driving length is not the greatest but he is pretty accurate with his approach shots.

Bo Van Pelt 33/1 has no tournaments wins this year but has plenty of top 25 finishes and he might just sneak under the radar here  He is lightly played this year with 18 events but he has made the cut in 14 of those.

 

Tiger Woods 5/1  2 point win 

Luke Donald 14/1  1 point win

Hunter Mahan 25/1  1 point win

Bo Van Pelt 33/1  0.5 point Each Way

 

 

The weather conditions are expected to be good with it being relatively calm.

 

Regards,

Fourmileracing

 

 

Open Championship Review 27 th July 2012

A rather disappointing 7  1/2 points loss, but there were some positives, all be it small.

I could have quite easily stuck in some odds on shots in the three balls, but  I chose to seek some value.  Colsaerts 2/1 and Snedecker 17/10 proved that.  I said that there would be no British winner and that proved correct. As for the overall winner, Johnson and Oosthuisen performed well and both had a good final day.  Harrington and Westwood didn’t get into contention. A poor first day cost a lot of players the chance of the title and in the end the only man who tried to win actually did.  Els back nine pushed him into contention and Adam Scott imploded and I’m sure this will haunt him for a long time.

I will preview next weeks tournaments on Wednesday

Regards,

Fourmileracing

Golf Update 20th July

A tough day out there.

The predicted weather just didn’t materialise, but players just didn’t perform.

3  balls for Friday

Match 2 Scott Pinkney  7/4

Match 21 Brandt Snedeker  17/10

Match 35 Jamie Donaldson 7/5

0.5 point win on each

Regards,

Fourmileracing

Golf blog 18th July 2012

Open championship –  3 balls

Here we are on the eve of the open. I aim to keep things to the point, and not go off on one of Peter Alliss ramblings

The draw is now made and I have had a chance to have a look through the matches.  Three balls are usually quite hard to call, but there are a few chinks of light in there.

Match 12   Y E Yang 9/4

Match 18 Dustin Johnson  6/4

Match 31  Pablo Larrazabal  35/19

Match 41 Nicholas Colsaerts  2/1

Match 46  Anders Hansen  7/4

Match 49 Alex Noren  14/9

I recommend a bet of 0.5 point win on the above

With such a big field starting out, the weather set to be changeable, some bookmakers paying out on the first 7 then there is some each way value to be had.

Longer shots Anders Hansen 125/1 played really well last week, good chance of a high finish and Darren Clarke 125/1  I know he has absolutely no form of late but he really knows how to play links golf, and at that price too good to overlook . I recommend a bet of 0.5 point each way

Looking for the winner

Tiger Woods 9/1 really is too short a price to be of any value to anybody and previous visits to this venue have yielded a 21st and 25th place and he’s also been very negative about the how unplayable the rough is, my advice would be don’t go in it then.  Rory McIlroy 20/1 has been going nowhere since he got himself involved with his Danish tennis ace; actually both their games have gone downhill, so we’ll avoid him. Luke Donald  20/1 I feel doesn’t have the mentality to win a major .

A links course is like no other, so form generally goes out the window, certainly players who have produced on this type of course should be treated with respect.  Keeping the ball in play being able to adapt to the weather, will be key to victory.

I recommend a 1 point bet to win on the following players

Padraig Harrington 20/1  has been in the doldrums for some time now which proves the old adage if it’s not broken don’t try to fix it.  He knows how to play links golf and has a great short game.

Loius Oosthuizen 45/1 previous winner well up in stats for driving accuracy and putting.

Dustin Johnson 50/1 played really well last year in difficult conditions, injured in early part of season, but showing signs that he can be in contention

Lee Westwood 16/1 what is he talking about I hear you say. No Brit to win was his comment the other day, well on reflection only part of his game to stop him is his putting,  the rest of his game is solid has done well in opens before and like Phil Mickelson the other perennial bridesmaid from years gone by, it just clicks.  Westwood feels his practice has gone really well so we’ll include him.

I will look at the match betting each evening for the following days play

Regards

Fourmileracing

GOLF BLOG

This year’s open championship sees a return to royal Lytham St Anne’s on the North West coast of England.   Royal Lytham became part of the regular open circuit in 1952, and has had some big name winners. The course has been extended by some 160 metres since 2001 to just over 7100 metres.

1952    Bobby Locke   287

1958   Peter Thomson   278

1963   Bob Charles   277

1969 Tony Jacklin   280

1974   Gary Player   282

1979   Seve Ballesteros   283

1988   Seve Ballesteros   273

1996   Tom Lehman   271

2001 David Duval   274

Only one British winner in Tony Jacklin and none of the surprise winners such as Ben Curtis or Paul Lawrie and you don’t need to be a massive driver of the ball.  So we are looking at well established players outside of Britain.  The current favourite is Tiger Woods 9/1  he finished 25th in 2001 after a good opening round, I feel that  better value lies elsewhere,  Padraig Harrington 20/1 is slowly returning to some form  he knows how to win this championship and has had good finishes in the majors this year.  Rickie Fowler 40/1 played really well last year and has been in good form this year,  Phil Mickelson 33/1 has the rescue game to make an impact played reasonably well at the Scottish open and has won majors previously.  Louis  Oosthuizen 45/1 is a previous winner in is well placed in the key stats, driving accuracy and putting.  Jim Furyk 50/1 has four top ten finishes and has been in good form lately.

Our tip for the tournament, top ten finishes  and on various three balls will appear on Wednesday 18th July

Regards

Fourmileracing

 

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