Soccer tips and analysis will appear here..
24th August better weekend last week gets us back to -1.08
Some good bets this week
Rotherham evens good home form against the away day losers Shrewsbury
Burton 23/20 at home to a poor Bury
Northampton 21/20 at home to Torquay
Morton 11/10 away at Dumbarton
a 1 point win on the above
Celtic had really poor form last season post a champions league fixture. I think Inverness 6/1 may get something so a half point on Inverness
Oops the curse of late goals and sending offs that haunted me at the start of last season is back again, but they say it evens itself out over the season. Starting this weekend at - 2.28.
The Premiership kicks off this week so here is the preview
Man United, new manager, but one with plenty of experience. United have been fairly quiet in the transfer market and with Rooney still unsettled I don't see the title being retained. I feel that 3rd will be the best this team is capable of.
Man City have spent big and become El City from what I can see. Having too much Spanish influence I don't feel is a good thing and over the course of a long hard season some might not last. The signing of Navas is a good one as City needed width last season and he will give it. Runners up, but a better return in Europe expected.
Chelsea with Mourinho back at the helm. Chelsea have a solid squad although they lack a bit of pace at the back they have plenty of talent going in the other direction. I feel that they will be Champions come May.
I think the title race will be close and a points total of 80 might just be enough.
Top four contenders
Arsenal have cleared out plenty of dead wood over the summer, but haven't replaced it with anything. Arteta will be missing for a few weeks and they may struggle a little. I think they will still finish 4th
Liverpool have been building under Rodgers, but I,m still not convinced by him. He likes the soundbite too much. The key for the Reds will be keeping Gerrard fit and Coutinho who I felt was a really good buy last season I feel 5th will be as high as they can go
Spurs very exciting football at time last year, with Bale getting them out of a hole on a few occasions, I,m Spurs won,t turn down the money on offer and could invest in a few players to improve the squad, I think on the road will be their problem so I see them finishing 6th
As for the rest
If Everton can keep some of the players who are targets for other clubs and Martinez gets them of to a reasonable start then its 7th for them.
Making up the rest of the top 10
Swansea as long as the curse of Thursday night Europa league action doesn't interfere with things I think they will build on last year 8th
Some might be surprised to see Sunderland this far up, some feel Di Canio is quite mad, I think he is passionate, knows what he wants at home they will be hard to beat and on this basis I feel 9th is where they will finish
Fulham continually fight the odds, they have an experienced squad and are capable of beating anyone on their own patch. Away form has always been patchy, but an improvement on the four away wins last year can get a 10th place finish.
Norwich manager Hughton has been busy adding more firepower and if they can maintain more of the form they showed at times last year then 11th is for them.
Southampton became more solid after Adkins departure and they have a good young manager and the can push on and finish 12th
Stoke will surely play a more expansive game under Mark Hughes, well a shot on target would probably do that. I still feel it will be a long season for the Potters but home form will see them finish 13th
West Ham at times flattered to deceive and they may struggle. Big Sam has enough nous to keep them up 14th.
The relegation battle this year will come down to the three promoted sides with West Brom, Aston Villa and Newcastle in the mix.
Aston Villa at times played really poorly, but Benteke staying should give them enough goals to stay up 15th for them.
West Brom who could'nt buy a win in the second half of last season I think will struggle, without the goals of Lukaku they may only just survive 16th
Newcastle will again only just survive, I feel that they are lightweight and if Cabbaye goes then they may go as well. 17th but only just.
Cardiff have spent money but are going to fall just short, the quality isn't there. Home games will be hard fought, but I expect them to struggle on their travels 18th
Hull have brought in plenty of Premier league experience but it won't be enough for the Tigers and Championship football awaits 19th
Bottom of the heap will be the entertaining Ian Holloways Palace with Zaha gone they just aren't good enough 20th
Nothing in the premier league this week
Leeds 11/10 to win the Yorkshire derby
Brentford 23/20 away at a Gillingham side on a poor run of late
Cheltenham evens at home to lowly Plymouth
Tonight Partick 13/10 at home to debt ridden Hearts only one defeat at home last season says home win again
Stirling 2/1 at home to Peterhead
Berwick5/4 at home to very slow startin Queens Park
A 1 point win on each of the above
A tiny profit saturday leaves us at + 0.62
Some interest for tonight and tomorrow
Forest Green 10/11
Two international friendlies
South Korea 6/5 to beat Peru
Albania 6/5 to beat Armenia
1 point win on the above
Saturday 10th August
The curse of the late goal did us again, but we can recover today. so we go back to + 0.6
In the Championship two games caught my eye, well three really but I,m avoiding Blackpool as star man Tom Ince picked up a ban the other evening, so we'll leave them to one side .
So the selections here are
Charlton 6/5 started slowly last year but finished really strongly and had a good win midweek, against a Boro side who probably underachieved and had a poor result in the Capital One cup.
Ipswich 23/20 since Mick McCarthy arrived the ship has been steadied, a very creditable defeat last week to one of my tips for the playoffs Leeds,. They should be good enough to see off Millwall who aren't the same side away from the New Den, ans new boss Steve Lomas has yet to put his stamp on the side.
Leyton Orient 20/23 again finished last year strongly and have started this one quite well, at home to poor travellers Shrewsbury should be a home banker.
Our Scottish accumulator
Falkirk 11/10 Morton 4/6 Peterhead 8/13 and Queens Park 1/2
A one point win on each of the above
Bets for Tuesday capital one cup
Two matches on handicap
Bournemouth -1 6/4
Brentford -1 7/5
1 point win on each
5th August 2013
A nice little start at the weekend leaves us at +2.6
Just a quick preview of the lower leagues and the premiership a bit closer to kick off
In the Championship it should be a close run thing again, with plenty of sides in with a shout. I feel Wigan 8/1 are well equipped for a quick return, depending on two things. If they can keep their squad together and relying on Owen Coyle not to tinker too much. Going up with them QPR, the Harry factor and shipping out of the dead wood will make them much stronger this season. For the playoff places I'm going for Reading, Leeds, Notts Forest and Watford. For the drop its got to be Barnsley 7/4, Doncaster 8/5 and Millwall 11/4
In league one I feel that Sheffield United 8/1 and Brentford will go up and the playoffs will be between Leyton Orient, Walsall, Peterbro and Oldham.
For the drop Shrewsbury 2/1, Coventry 8/15, Gillingham 7/2 and Colchester 11/4
In League two things will be quite tight as well, To go up Cheltenham 20/1,Rochdale and Scunthorpe. The playoffs Chesterfield, Northampton, Bristol Rovers and Wycombe.
Heading for the conference should be Dagenham and Redbridge 3/1 and Torquay 11/2
Motherwell 12/5 (without celtic) should have enough to finish second to Celtic but expect a good showing from Ross County. Hearts wont overcome their points deduction and will go down.
In league one I expect Falkirk 11/2 to be pushed by Queen of the South for the title at the other end Alloa and Dumbarton to face the trapdoor
In league two everybody thinks it will be a cakewalk for Rangers, but I'm not so sure. They should win the title with a bit to spare but not the 30 odd points of last season. I expect a much better showing from Stranraer this year to make the playoffs with Brechin and Forfar.
For the drop East Fife or Airdrie
In League two I think Stirling 8/1 will be Champions with Peterhead, Albion and Montrose filling the playoff spots.
In the conference , if Kidderminster 6/1 get of to a better start than last season then I think they will be back in the Football league come May and going up with them will be Grimsby
I will have some selections for midweek matches later on today
The soccer season gets under way this weekend, with matches in the football league and Scotland. without any proper form to rely on, its a bit of a lottery until the transfer window closes.
I'll take a look at the leagues in a little more detail next week
Just a few small bets worth looking at this week
Shrewsbury v MK Dons 12/5 draw the form result in this fixture of late. The shrews will depend on the home form, whilst the Dons will be challenging near the top.
Southend 6/5 to beat Plymouth, The Phil Brown Shrimpers should be good enough at home to beat the perennial struggle rs
In the scottish league cup an accumulator
1 point win on each of the above
After 2 really bad weeks in which we dropped back by 4 points to stand at 11.55. It is time to recover the lost ground. A treble in Scotland is the order off the day.
Partick 2/7, Alloa 8/11 and Queen of the South 1/6. Im very confident in this selection and will recommend a 5 point win .
9th Feb 2013 slightly disappointing last week a 2 point loss but with a bit of study this week the bet should pay handsomely. Looking at percentages where both teams score in a game, the highest percentage teams meet this weekend and we are going there.
So both teams to score
Kilmarnock Motherwell 4/7
Stirling Montrose 4/9
Berwick Clyde 4/9
A 2 point treble on the above
After the last set of matches we stand at +15.55
Just one bet this weekend, both teams to score with Paddy Power
Blackburn - Bristol City 8/11
Blackpool - Barnsley 4/6
Peterbro - Burnley 8/15
Yeovil - Brentford 4/6
2 points on the above will give about 12.2 profit
It could be a quiet weekend with lots of games off, but value is there. Our points total stands at + 15.8
Port Vale 11/10 (nap)
Treble in the Blue Square Prem
Newport 1/2, Luton 37/40, Forest Green 10/11
In Scotland Morton Livingston draw 29/10
12th January 2013
Some good value out there this weekend
Brighton evens at home to Derby
Brentford 6/5 away at Oldham
Notts County 11/10 away at Portsmouth
Forest Green away at Nuneaton
Queen of the South 4/11, Forfar 11/10, Elgin 1/2, Queens Park 11/10
A 1 point win on the above
5th January 2013 A mixed bag over Christmas leaves us at + 12.8
So into the minefield of the cup
Only one recommendation here
Leeds 11/10 A 1 point win
In league 1 A 1 point double
In league 2
In the conference
Cambridge 3/4, Gateshead 3/4, Kidderminster 8/15 A 1 point win treble
In Scotland East Fife 4/5, Queen of The South 4/11, Berwick 7/10, Clyde 7/5, Queens Park 21/20 A 1 point win
Lets hope 2013 gets off to a flyer
Port Vale 10/11
1 point win on each of the above
We'll stick in a big one
Swansea 8/13, Palace 5/6, Coventry 7/10, Swindon 4/9, Crawley 7/10 a 1 point win on the above
29th december 2012
Half way through the busy xmas period and I,m kind of stuck at the same points for a few weeks, but time to make a huge advance.
Fourfold bet Stoke 5/6, Sheff utd 4/11, Cheltenham 7/10, Falkirk 2/5
A 2 point win will give a return of 9/1
1 point win on each of these games
26th dec 2012
Most of our games were called off due to the weather, but we did make 1.04 to push us on. now standing at + 11.26
A fourfold Everton8/15 MK Dons 4/9 Gillingham 4/11 Queen of the South 4/11. A 2 point on this and a 1 point win on each of the above.
A small loss last week leaves us standing at +10.22, Footie Man is at +0.28
Into the very busy Christmas period. I'll be having a look at the predictions I made at the start of the season too see how they are doing on Monday.
A few matches today
Port Vale 4/6
Berwick/ Queens Park 5/2 draw
1 point win on each
14th December 2012
An awful week just gone Footie Man dropped back to +0.28 and I've gone back to +12.55 so a change of fortune is due.
So for this weekend
1 point win on the above
And a five fold
Man Utd 1/5, Cardiff 1/3, MK Dons 4/11, Dartford 1/2, Halifax 8/13
2 point win on the five fold will gain 8.57
The curse of the injury time goal came back to haunt again so we dropped back slightly to +17.45 with footie man on +3.28.
Today I'm going for
Port Vale 11/10
Coventry/Walsall draw 13/5
Kilmarnock/Celtic draw 4/1
The fourfold is Leicester 4/9, Grimsby 8/13, Dunfermline 6/5 and Elgin 4/6
Arsenal v West Brom - West Brom Win 13/2
I think Arsenal's awful run will continue this
weekend. With the pressure of the home crowd
weighing in on Arsene Wenger once again
I fancy the Baggies to notch 3 points in this one.
Might be worth a few quid!!
Aston Villa v Stoke - Stoke Win 21/10
With Stoke's rigid defence and with
Aston Villa not being the most prolific
side in the world to say the least, i think
this is a fairly safe bet, then again you never
Man City v Man United - Draw 5/2
Gonna sit on the fence in this one.
With so much at stake for both teams
I can see this being a fairly tight and
1 point win on the above
after a really good weekend with a 5.45 gain to leave us at +18.95. just one match taking my eye
AFC Telford 23/20 to beat Barrow and at 10/3 -1 on handicap
Recommend 1 point on the win and a 0.5 point on the handicap bet
Standing at +13.40 after gaining 1.67 on Wednesday
This weekends tips
Millwall evens on a great run should have plenty against Charlton
Hibs 13/8 should gain revenge for last years hammering in cup final
Newport evens been off form lately but a long journey for Gateshead might just be the turning point
Grimsby 10/11 on a really good run at present and playing well away from home.
A little fourfold
Watford 8/11, Tranmere 4/6 Crawley 2/5 Luton 4/9
1 point win on each
27th November 2012
Continued after getting the prices below from Paddy Power site. On checking the fixtures this evening the Luton and Mansfield matches with the prices quoted took place at the weekend. I don't know why they were still being shown on the site. So the only matches tonight are Doncaster and Welling
A quick way to make some money
In the FA Trophy
1 point win on each
26th November 2012
After the weekend Footie Man stands at + 3.28 and I'm at +11.73, A good few games mid week so we'll take a look at those tomorrow
Two draws today
Chelseav Man City 5/2
Swansea v Liverpool 27/10
0.5 point on each
Everton v Norwich - Draw 3/1
Norwich have a real solid defence
at the moment and Everton are on a
mini-slump so I fancy the Canaries
to snatch a draw in this one.
Chelsea v Man City - Man City win 9/5
With Chelsea changing managers yet
again midweek and with the fans clearly
not behind Rafa, its probably a bad
time to be playing the champions!
Swansea v Liverpool - Swansea win 23/10
Swansea are on great form, and with
Liverpool failing to win midweek again
I just fancy the Swans to pick up the points
in this one.
1 Point Win.
I know we have no rugby page yet, but I can't let the opportunity pass. Argentina +6 on handicap 10/11. The Pumas are well drilled by the descendant of a Waterford emigrant and they should be able too see off a spirited Ireland side in transition.
1 point win on Argentina would be my advice
23rd November 2012
What a crazy week Black Tuesday was replaced by promising Wednesday with a 1.41 gain, so now standing at + 9.08.
A smaller than usual set of bets
Our Treble is Middlesbro 8/13, Dunfermline 1/3, Morton 8/13
Our fourfold is Cliftonville 1/5, Crusaders 1/2, Linfield 4/9, Portadown 8/15 (Paddy Power)
1 point win on each of the above
21 st November
What a disaster last night, teams two up and ending up losing. At +7.67
so I'll aim to claw some of that back this evening
Schalke 4/9 2 point win
Arbroath 8/13 1 point win
Gloucester5/4 and Ashton United 8/15 1 point win double
I'm not sorry about RDM at Chelsea, but if the owner is looking for attractive football would Rafa be your man. I don't think so
Quick note for tonight standing at +11.67
Sheff Utd 4/7
1 Point win on each of the above
See below for my tips posted yesterday
Footie Man tips Standing at +1.08
Liverpool vs Wigan Draw 18/5
Could make a bit in this one I feel.
Liverpool's home form is abysmal
so the Latics have a great shout
in this one.
QPR vs Southampton Southampton win 16/5
Nice odds for the Saints in this one! Its
a tale of two managers jobs in this match
and I think Nigel Adkins will come out
West Brom vs Chelsea Draw 27/10
Again, very nice odds! The Baggies have
been on an unbelievable run of form as of late
unlike thier opponents this week, who could
be jaded from the international break
16th November 2012
I know I said I'd have something for Friday, but on reflection, especially of the prices on offer, I decided it was better too keep the hands in the pockets until Saturday. At + 11.55
I think there are games this weekend that have great potential, lets hope i'll be saying that on Monday.
Crystal Palace 21/20 at home to Derby. Good home record this season and the Rams haven't won here in years.
Bournemouth 8/11 at home to struggling Oldham. Home side flying since change of manager.
Colchester 5/4 at home to Bury and that's what will happen here.
Notts County 6/4 away at Scunnie. County are unbeaten away this season and at that price, get on.
Port Vale 20/21 at home to the less than impressive Wycombe, who will be wandering home with nothing from this game
Bradford 21/20 at home to Exeter. The Grecians have good away form, but will be hard pressed here.
Forfar 11/10 going well at home against a Stenhousemuir side who are fairly erratic
Birmingham and Hull to draw 12/5
1 point on each of the above
Hope it all goes well
15th November 2012
I have commented before on being robbed of profit in the last 10 minutes of games. Last weekends match at Inverness springs immediately too mind, what with the last minute penalty. I was listening to the commentary at the time and they said Terry Butcher was hopping up and down on the sideline and he wasn't the only one. So into this week and Barrow on Tuesday and Corby last night both won their games in the last minute. Absolutely no point complaining, you play for the allotted time, and if they win, they win and if not they lose and you take it on the chin. So with two good days behind us, now standing at +11.55.
I'll have something for Friday later
14th November 2012
A nice little win last night with 3 wins from 4 to push us upward to +10.35
A small investment tonight in Corby 6/5 at home in the FA Trophy could pay dividends
1 point win
13th November 2012
An ok weekend with a 1 point loss so we stand at +8.71
A few matches tonight
10th November 2012
On the continent last night Dijon were the mustard, but the boat sank in Le Havre and as for De Graafschap well they were Graafschap. We start the Saturday on +9.71 (see yesterday for selections)
Footie Man at -2.82, controversial as ever
Arsenal v Fulham - Draw 10/3
With the Gunners out of form
and missing a whole host of stars
this weekend I fancy Fulham to
snatch a draw in this one.
Aston Villa v Man United - Man United win 4/7
I know you wouldn't put money on
in this one but its definately a United win
with RVP and Rooney right in form!
Southampton v Swansea - Swansea win 2/1
Swansea will heap more misery on Southampton
this weekend and could see the demise of Nigel
9th November 2012
I hope you took the advice on Wednesday as Tranmere came good so we are at + 10.71
Tonight we hit the continent. Prices with Paddy Power
Can Dijon (evens) hit the mustard. I think they can
Will the boat come in for Le Havre (evens)
I dare anyone too come up with something for De Graafschap evens in Holland
1 point win on the above
Not much value on Saturday So a small number of bets
Inverness Calie Thistle 9/5 can put the final dagger into Hearts who could well be defunct next week.
Crystal Palace 7/5 will be shining away at lowly Peterborough. Palace are flying at the moment and even the change in manager hasn't stopped them.
Macclesfield 17/10 will be a degree too good for Cambridge
1 point win on the above
In the Scottish second division all home wins in a fourfold will be the call
Annan evens, Clyde 13/10, Elgin 20/23, and Rangers 2/11 A 1 point win will give a return of 9.16 not bad me thinks
On Sunday will Borrusia be Monchengladbach 8/5 away at bottom club, good result midweek will stand them in good stead
1 point win
here endeth the lesson
A small loss of 0.86 last nigh , now standing at +8.71, but the chance too recoup is there.
Get on Tranmere tonight evens at bottom club Hartlepool
2 point win recommended
Another small half point profit last night, now standing at + 9.57
I have quite a few bets this evening
Zenit 8/5 at Anderlecht the Eastern Europeans should triumph in Belgium
Derby 5/6 at home to Barnsley who have been sinking like a stone lately
Bournemouth 4/6 at home to Shrewsbury who ain't too good away
Preston 5/6 have been in flying form at home to Carlisle
Exeter 10/11 at home against the the worlds worst travelers Wimbledon
In the Conference
I feel good about tonight and expect a healthy profit. A 1 point win on the above
I have to comment about my racing colleagues post about Liverpool and especially Jordan Henderson. I'm afraid I don't sing off the same hymn sheet on this one. The fact that Brendan Rodgers doesn't play him is know surprise, come to think of it his predecessor King Kenny didn't play him too often either. To quote our politians "the fact of the matter is", he doesn't keep the ball. Joe Allen passes it to a Red shirt, Jordan Henderson gives it away and that's why he warms the bench. I might get slaughtered for saying this, but I feel it's an honest assessment. What do you think ?
See below + Northern Ireland league cup QF tonight
A 1 point win treble will nett over 3/1
Small profits from yesterday's Footie Man made a 1 point gain and now stands at -2.82 and I made a profit of 0.71 to stand at + 9.07.
I missed out on the fourfold by one match for the second week running, so I'm going to persist as this will come off.
Monday night soccer this week features West Brom and Southampton. There is money to be made here. Southampton have by far the worst defence in this league. The two centre halves are as slow as cart horses and are prone to howlers. Nigel Adkins is true to his word, by trying to play football, but they are not up to it at this level. With the pace West Brom have up front they are well worth backing at 3/4. A 2 point win is the bet
Footie Man at - 3.82
Man United v Arsenal - Draw 3/1
This match will be a case of who has the
better defence, which I feel Arsenal have.
but with it being at Old Trafford it depends what kind
of referee turns up!
West Ham v Man City - Draw 3/1
With City not firing on all cylinders
at the moment and with their shakey defence,
I think this match could be the arrival of Andy
Sunderland v Aston Villa - Sunderland Win 11/10
A safe bet as you can pretty much foresee that
Sunderland will get their season up and running against a
struggling Aston Villa side.
The Friday bet that is part of the fourfold came up so lets hope the other three follow suit
2nd November 2012 for weekend soccer tips
My racing colleague must have lost the plot, he thinks Messi has a right foot.
Anyway this weekend, I have looked long and hard at the fixtures and I must say there's a few tricky ones out there.
This is what I've come up with.
Norwich and Stoke draw 23/10
Huddersfield 20/21 at home to Bristol City
Bournemouth 8/13 at home to Dagenham
Preston evens at home to Yeovil
York 5/6 at home to Wimbledon
Hibs 23/20 at home to St Mirren
A fourfold bet in Northern Ireland gives a nice return of 5.15
Ballinmallard 8/15 (friday )
A 1 point bet on each of the above.
Following the weekend Footie Man stands at -3.82 and I made some progress up to +8.36
Going to avoid the Capital Cup midweek so next posting will be Friday
Footie Man at -0.82
Feels that Swansea will earn a draw at Man City 11/2
Norwich will beat Aston Villa 31/10
Southampton and Spurs will draw 29/10
Some big prices and brave predictions there
1 point win on each
27th October 2012
After 2 poor weeks its time to have a real go this week. Standing at +6.33
Crawley evens at home to poor little Oldham
Dagenham and Redbridge 11/10 at home to the very disappointing Aldershot
Torquay evens at home to a very long journeyed Morecambe
Raith 13/8 away at Hamilton, fairly academic this one
Wrexham 11/10 away at a Braintree side which cant see the wood for the trees of late.
Alfreton and AFC Telford 12/5 have drawn more times against each other than I've had hot dinners
Blue Square Prem and Conference North
Tamworth 20/21 and Harrogate Town 5/6 in a double
In Wales and Northern Ireland
Prestatyn 5/6 Bangor 4/6 llanelli 8/15 and Cliftonville 8/13 in a fourfold
1 point win on each of the above
25th October 2012
What is Roberto Mancini thinking. Man City had the best defence last season with the old fashioned man marking. Now it's the zonal marking system, which is causing havoc in the defence. Liverpool tried this type of defending a couple of seasons ago, and what happened, goals conceded too easily. Ditch the system before its too late.
I know that I have bemoaned late goals and sendings off, which has caused our points total to dwindle somewhat. I have to say that we were assisted by the late goals etc the other night,so the old saying that things go around, must be true. We ended up with a small loss of 0.39 to leave us at + 6.33
Tips for the weekend will appear late evening tomorrow
Weekend comment. The league is taking shape with the usual suspects leading the pack. Will Chelsea implode, I think they might just get beaten this weekend coming. The start they have made has been impressive, but the majority of teams played you would expect them too beat. I feel if a team really gets at them, they are susceptible. I also wanted to mention three sendings off, James Milner and Check Tiote could have no complaints, especially Tiote for what was a reckless challenge. As for Steven Pienaar his second yellow was a joke, the player he challenged actually kicked him on drawing back his foot, lets hope sense prevails and it gets rescinded.
On to tuesdays fixtures our mid week form has been much better than the weekend, so I would be fairly confident of a good return tonight.
Cardiff 4/6, got rightly done at the weekend when sloppy, same kind of performance won't happen again
Huddersfield 13/10, great price for a team in fine form
Brentford 21/20, bit unlucky at weekend should rectify things
Tranmere 10/11, fortress Prenton Park tonight, only one result
Cheltenham 10/11, in good form of late, will continue
Southend 8/11, have been let down by the Shrimpers already this season, but redemption will occur
1 point win on the above
A poor weekend again, this is relegation form, sending off and late goals have been a pain in the a**e, but the main reason has been changing what was a winning formula. So its back too tried and trusted from now on.
Footie Man stands at - 0.82 whereas I stand at +6.72
Predictions for tuesday will appear here tomorrow evening
Footie Mans Predictions - 20th October currently standing at +0.28
Liverpool v Reading - Draw 17/4
With virtually all of Liverpool's players
away on international duty this week
and with Reading two weeks to prepare
for this game, not to mention Liverpool's
abysmal home record this season, I
fancy Reading to grab a draw here.
West Ham v Southampton - West Ham Win 10/11
Southampton are conceeding 2 or 3 in
every game and West Ham are solid at the back.
Carroll and Nolan's partnership will be a big factor also.
The Hammers will come out on top in this one.
Swansea v Wigan - Wigan Win 14/5
Swansea manager Michael Laudrup is under
severe pressure to get a result this weekend.
If Wigan get an early goal, which i think they will
it could be a long afternoon for Swansea
A poor showing last night drops us back to + 10.67,but I'll endeavor to reclaim some of the lost ground tomorrow.
First up Notts County 21/20 away at Coventry unbeaten away from home
Rochdale 17/10 away at Plymouth great record at this ground
Motherwell 23/10 away at Hearts on Sunday The Jambos with money troubles taking their eye off the ball
Elgin 10/11 at home to Annan Great home form
Stirling evens at home to Montrose Following up on Rangers win.
York /Dagenham Redbridge draw 5/2 League 2 draw specialist
1 point on each of the above
TRAPPING TONI (PART 2)
Why do I hear the so called experts saying that this was a much better performance. Let me tell you this was an abject display against a side ranked 100 places below the Irish. The first half was more of the same that we have been subjected to, the second half improved mainly because they tired. We again concede from a cross that John O'Shea failed to deal with (see Euro's for further example). This guy has played in one of the top club sides in Europe and yet he can't jump more than a foot off the ground. Why take Robbie Brady off, I'm sure he would have created more as the game went on , but no we have to suffer Simon "three bellies" Cox, who again had no impact on the game. Poor old Shane Long will be tripping over that beard he's growing whilst warming the bench, he just doesn't fit the pudgy striker mold that Trap likes. As for the reporters asking players if they still support the manager, are they stupid, what answer did they expect. I mean Robbie Keane is hardly going to give the honest truth, as he's lucky to be playing at this level. He did nothing the whole game, but tried to claim the goal off Walters, how desperate is that.
Anyway as Trap said " it is good to be home from Egypt after playing the Pharaohs"
Don't be fooled by this- we were still mediocre at best.
The tips from last night gained 1 point, the matches in the double both being called off, but Orient won too bring us to + 11.67
For Friday night Northampton 11/8 1 point win
16th October 2012
Just heard the team for tonight. Ward out and Wilson in, I've never been a fan of Ward at left back, he always leaves himself exposed. However, I'm sure he could have done a reasonable job on the left side of midfield instead of my old friend Muscovite McGeady. Can this guy do no wrong, in the managers eyes obviously not. What does he bring to the party, goals, no, crossing ability, no, unless you count hitting the first man, pace, some, dribbling, well yes but why do you have to beat the same man 5 times before giving the ball away. As you may have guessed I don't rate him much. I feel sorry for Keith Fahey, as this might have been a game were a bit of quality on the ball may have paid dividends, so what do they do drop him again, he'll be another not getting on the plane.
Has there ever been a manager as blinkered as this one . My eminent horse racing blogmeister would probably know what to do with a poor performer, who doesn't perform with the eyepieces on. I think the glue factory would be the only place. I'm afraid that Stevie Wonder has more vision than the Italiano, let's hope tonight brings closure on this dreadful indictment of soccer.
Leaving aside my own frustrations for a minute, 3 small bets for tonight
Leyton Orient evens 1 point win
In the conference North
FC Halifax 8/15 and Harrogate town 4/5 1 point win double
15th October 2012
Back on track Port Vale won 3-0 so we gained 0.95 to push us back up to + 10.67
13th October 2012
Oh dear! I suppose I've been on a good run for sometime, so the wheels had to come off at some stage. I always say if you're going to do something do it in style, that's what happened yesterday. All results went against us yesterday with a loss of 8 points to bring us back to +9.72.
Like most things in life if you fall off, get back on quickly, so in that case.
Port Vale 19/20 on Monday night at home to Oxford 1 point win
12th October 2012.
What to start with, well our points total after last night stands at + 17.72 with Ecuador and Hungary winning last night and the handicap bet in the racing blog.
The match at the Aviva was a shambles and the result had been coming for a long time. We have commented here in previous blogs about the manager, Aiden Mcgeady and the Sterile tactics, all I'll say is how right we were. To have one of the German front men constantly dropping into the hole and allowing runners to come through and nobody changing anything says it all. As much as it pains me to say it a defeat on Tuesday may be a good thing as it should bring an end to this garbage. I learnt the other day that there is a place in Scotland called Dull and a place in America called Boring and they have been twinned. If Trap is looking for somewhere to go this will be perfect.
Now onto the tips for Saturday
Slightly longer prices than normal.
Stevenage 17/10 away at Colchester
Swindon 5/6 at home to Coventry
Burton 6/5 at home to struggling Bristol Rovers
Rochdale Evens at home to boring Morecambe
Woking evens at home to a poor Southport side
Tamworth 6/4 has to be the nap away at bottom side Hyde
and I think Alfreton are worth a look at 17/10 away at Ebbsfleet
1 point win on the above
A short price double in Wales. The New Saints 1/6 and Prestatyn Town 8/11 2 point win will give 2.03
Sorry addition to the international games Ecuador 10/11 at home to a cold chile
1 point win
International matches Friday
Lots of these games have massive odds on, so not worth touching
I have found three which offer small profit but worth the punt.
1 point win on each of the above
Weekend games will appear here Friday evening
An interesting match last night, 5 goals shared between 2 players, one an own goal and a sending off included, but we came out on top so a 1.2 point gain to take us to + 16.32
A minute return of 0.16 from last night. to bring us to + 15.12
Anyway not much on tonight, but get on wrexham 6/5 1 point win
8th October 2012
A good day yesterday Footie Man returned the draw for 3/1 so gets to + 0.28 and I managed to get the double so an improvement of 2.5 to leave things standing at +14.96
I THINK I'M TURNING ITALIAN
I must apologise for being conservative at the weekend, there were two matches that caught my eye, but I didn't put them in. I can assure you that I have a pain in my foot from kicking myself. I missed out on Nairn County in the Scottish cup 18/5 and Ballinmallard 3/1 in Northern Ireland. This is a mistake I won't make again, I don't know what I was thinking. With Internationals this week I have a couple of selections for Tuesday.
Leyton Orient 1/2 in the Johnstone Paint trophy
In the Blue Square Premiership
A 1 point win on the above and I think its worth a fivefold bet of 1 point on the Blue Square matches
See what I mean
I had a couple of good wins yesterday, but the losses made us end the day down 0.18 of a point to stand at + 12.46
I,m throwing in a double today Roma 1/2 and St Patricks Athletic 1/2
A 2 point win double will give a return of 2.5
Footie Man standing at - 2.72
6th October 2012
Another weekend upon us, I feel there is a good chance to make some profit.
In the Premiership the stand out for me is West Brom 10/11 at home to QPR. Rangers just can't do much right and the Baggies have been pretty solid so far.
Championship side Crystal Palace 11/8 have been impressive so far, as many had them to struggle. Burnley are not great on the road, so home win.
Two matches in league one Swindon evens and Preston 6/4. Swindon played poorly midweek, you can be sure Di Canio will have them up for this match today. Preston have been making strides so far, their home form is top notch but I feel they will win away against Oldham.
In league 2 Southend 8/15 should put Barnet to the sword.
Blue Square Braintree 21/20 are at home to Barrow who have a long journey south for this fixture and this may be a key factor here.
In Scotland Hibs 3/4 at home to Dundee and the best bet as far as i'm concerned Kilmarnock 7/4 who are playing really well, at home to draw specialist Aberdeen.
Finally Peterhead 4/5 should get back on track against a disappointing Berwick side.
A 1 point win on each of the above
Our treble this week is the 3 Scottish sides listed above 1 point on those will give a return of 7.66
Not too bad, last night, I came out with a profit of 2.28 points to take the total to + 12.64. If there's anything for friday I'll post it thursday evening
Back to the Champions League tonight, but also a spot of wales watching.
In Europe I fully expect Juventus 8/13 and Valencia at 4/6 to do the business. Juve have started the season where they left off last year sitting at the top of the league. As for Valencia a bit of a mixed bag, but facing a Lille side who have been a disaster in their own league.
In England tonight
Port Vale 4/6
A 1 point win on each of the above.
In Wales I'm going for a fourfold
The New Saints 8/13, Llanelli 8/13, Carmarthen 4/5 and Airbus UK Broughton 2/5
2 point win on the above will reap a reward of 11.15, which I feel is there for the taking
A somewhat mixed bag. I had a few winners over the weekend and our treble from the North came up, the problem was that our other treble went belly up. The lord giveth and the lord taketh away. So a loss of 0.25 leaves us standing at + 10.36. Footie Man helped by the hand (ba)ll to secure Newcastle the draw made in roads into his minus score, he now stands a - 2.72. I will have a few tips for midweek, will post tomorrow
Footie Man -4.95
I have been knocking on the door for a few weeks, and today will be the day to burst through and start making you some money
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Arsenal win 5/4
Standing at + 10.61 I am starting to get on a roll. I aim to keep things going, so here we go
Well a good start to the weekend with 2 of our treble up in Northern Ireland, the 3rd match at Coleraine is tomorrow.
As for the rest of the matches. I must say that I quite fancy Stoke 10/11 at home to Swansea. Everton last week showed the way to defeat the Swans, press them high up the field and dominate them in the air. I think Stoke will do this as this is their game they play.
In the Championship I fancy a few home wins, Barnsley 6/4 at home to Ipswich who are really underachieving. Barnsley have been a revelation this season even when decimated by injury they have come up with something.
Brighton 5/6 are going really well playing with confidence against a Birmingham side who have been blowing cold lately.
Huddersfield 21/20 played really well against Blackpool and they should have way too much for Watford.
Moving swiftly on Preston 4/5 are really tanking sides at home and Yeovil have gone off the boil lately, so home win.
Stevenage 8/13 at home to a struggling Bury
Exeter 20/21 are great value at home to Bristol Rovers who I seem to be opposing every week
Finally my Scottish tip is St Johnstone 6/5 away at Dundee. This is somewhat of a derby game, but the one thing the Saints have is momentum from the last few weeks .
A 1 point win on each of the above. I,m going to stick a treble in aswell, Brighton , Huddersfield and Exeter a 1 point win on this
Unfortunately Chester's game last night was called off, so Norwich won to give us 1.06 points so we now stand at +10.61
Tomorrow night in the Northern Irish league there is a juicy little treble waiting to be gobbled up. I know the odds are short but together they stand to make 2.85
Linfield 1/5, Cliftonville 2/7 and Coleraine 4/7 should all win at home against the lesser lights of this league. As I said before in small league like this surprises are few and far between
2 point win on the above .
I have some nice tips for the weekend, but more of that tomorrow
Just a small double for tonight
Norwich 8/15 at home to Doncaster in the League cup
Chester 8/13 going well in the Blue Square North at home to Gainsborough in FA Cup
2 point win double gives a solid return of 4.95 including stake
MUGS AND SMUGS.
What kind of a guy is the Chelsea boss, that supercilious smirk and blinkered outlook, he makes Wenger look like someone with 20/20 vision. He obviously watched a different game to me on Saturday, as he felt Chelsea dominated the match. From what I saw Stoke were well in the game and had plenty of chances and deserved a point at least. David Luiz tackle was reckless to say the least and deserved red. As for the rest of Chelsea, the amount of simulation was a disgrace and they should be brought to task by the FA and the players Association. I know that diving has been part of their makeup for a while , but they are taking it to a new level and ruining the game. I played soccer and never deliberately went down under a challenge, but these guys (some more than 6 foot tall) look like they have been machine gunned on the front line. Chelsea you are a disgrace !.
As for the other big game of the weekend at Anfield , I felt the sending of was harsh, a yellow for both would have been more appropriate and the penalty was fairly soft, another guy taking a tumble at the slightest contact.
After all that we made a profit of 2.8 to move us up to + 9.55, Footie Man stands at - 4.95.
We will have some tips midweek, so stick with us
21st September 2012
Well it's taken a while, but a really good evening on Tuesday were we hit 5 out of 6 results and only missed out on the full house with an 87 minute equaliser. Points total 6.75 . Footie Man stands at minus 3.9
On to this weekend, again I'm avoiding the minefield of the Premiership, but I'll be taking you to Wales and Northern Ireland.
If you look at what can be classed as smaller leagues, the number of surprise results come few and far between, so this is the reason to stick these in.
Bala town 10/11
Our treble is Hibs, Rochdale and Cliftonville which should get around 8/1
I suggest a 1 point win on the above matches .
Hope this weekend brings good fortune
17th September 2012
Well the weekend was a tad unfortunate with Footie man losing 0.95 of a point and myself losing 0.4
I don't see too much to shout about in the Champions League so I've a few matches in the lower English leagues.
Blackburn 4/9 at home to Barnsley
Blackpool 10/11 at home to Middlesboro
Bradford 4/5 at home to Morecambe
Crawley 7/5 away at Colchester
Tranmere 8/13 at home to Bury
I feel that the 3 B's should be put in a treble and gives a nice return .
1 point win on each of the above
Good punting, back at the weekend
15th September 2012
Footie man makes a return after 3 weeks locked in a dark room receiving counselling. Standing at minus 3 points,so here's his words of wisdom.
All the top teams look to have easy games so
15th Sept 2012 My last post seems to have disappeared but anyway our points total is minus 3.63. We are improving and the little treble we had returned 4 points.
I dont see much value in the Premier league this week so here we go.
Blackpool 11/10 away at Barnsley who are missing a few players
Tranmere 11/10 at home to Coventry. Tranny are playing well and are normally fairly hot at home.
Bradford 8/13 at home to one of the relegation favorites Barnet.
Gillingham 4/5 at home to the very over rated pre season Bristol Rovers
Montrose and Berwick 5/2 the draw this is a fixture were the draw is more often than not the right one.
A 1 point win on the above .
Our treble is Blackpool Tranmere and Gillingham 1 point on this .
Just a footnote, its good too see the Hillsborough 96 vindicated at last, may they now rest in peace.
Well just sat through another sterile Irish performance, a complete continuation from the Euros, completely got out of jail ,but with much tougher games to come Trap will be shown to be what he is . No imagination at all...let the guys play please !.
Anyway now I've got that off my chest, a look ahead to this weekends other games. We still have two parts of our treble to go on Sunday. Results the other night could have been slightly kinder, a goal in Braintrees game in the 88 minute set us back, but only a 0.6 loss on the night and if our treble comes up then we will be positive points for those selections.
Standing currently at a loss of 4.63 and footie man at minus 3 total 7.63
MK Dons evens away at Walsall should have enough quality to see of the Saddlers
Sheffield United 10/11 I cant believe the price against a Scunthorpe side who don't know what a win or goal is
Yeovil 5/4 at home to Bournemouth. The side from the South West made a good signing in James Hayter who was a regular scorer before at this level and he might make the difference here.
Brentford 10/11 at home to a Colchester side who are another team who can't find the net away from home.
Newport County 4/5 have started life really well in the Conference this year and should hold all the aces against Stockport
1 point win on each of the above
just a 0.6 loss at the weekend which can be easily corrected tonight. Some matches in the Blue Square Premier take my fancy
Grimsby -1 goal 11/4
Wrexham -1 goal 7/5
and a little treble to finish Arbroath 11/10, Cowdenbeath 1/3 and Forest Green at 4/9
1point win on each. Happy hunting
31st august 2012
After a better week last week with five results from seven we have improved our loss to 7.13points. This weekends matches are fairly hard to call, I think the championship should be avoided at all cost.
In the premiership there are quite a few odds on shots, so after careful consideration I'm not putting any of them in.
Our first selection is Wigan 5/4 at home to those poor travellers Stoke. I find Charlie Adams purchase a strange buy for a team built on work ethic, to get someone who only lasts 60 minutes is odd to say the least. Wigan finished last season like a train and have been playing well so far and they should be able to beat the Potters.
In Division 1 Crawley 8/11 at home to a very disappointing Leyton Orient who can't buy a win at present. Portsmouth 6/5 at home to Oldham. Pompey are living hand to mouth at present and have a few players on monthly contracts, the spirit at the club seems good and the players are in the shop window, so they'll try their hardest and Oldham won't fancy the long journey south.
In Division 2 Exeter 39/40 after falling a division last season they are finding their feet again and should be good enough to see off Burton who again face another long journey.
Gillingham 11/10 at home to manager less Chesterfield who got rid of John Sheridan this week. The Gills are pretty dominant at home and against a side void of confidence should be a good thing.
In the conference Forest Green 4/7 at home to newly promoted Hyde, the gulf in class here will be pretty evident in the score, only one result here Home win. Hereford 6/5 have settled pretty well in this division when many thought they would struggle. Their opponents Grimsby won't be easy but being at home should be enough.
In Scotland Peterhead 8/15 really struggled last year, but finished the season strongly, they are one of the favourites without Rangers and they should put Montrose to the sword
1point wins on the above teams except Forest Green 2 point win on their game
28th August 2012
A better weekend with a 2.2 point gain and we aim to keep the run going. The league cup 2nd round is on this week, as a lot of sides field weakened teams or don't put in to much effort then I am going to avoid them and concentrate on the weekend ahead. Will update on friday. Any thoughts or comments will be most welcome and I will try to answer any that get left.
25th August 2012
CHAMBERS OF HORROR
I was preparing the blog the other evening, to say we that we had turned the corner only for Mr Chambers of York to score 4 minutes from time to spoil things. I still feel that the corner has been turned and if you stick with us we'll get you in profit. Currently we are down 9.63 points
Looking at this weekends fixtures throws up some interesting possibilities.
Swansea 11/10 against West Ham. I see a good few bookies have this match in a multiple bet format, you can be sure if that's the case they must feel that one of the matches is dodgy and this may be the one. I can't see West Ham defending as badly as QPR, so this may be a little bit tighter.
Wycombe 7/5 at home have a terrible record against Bristol Rovers, so stay clear of that as well.
This weekends selections
The premier league is fairly hard to call this week but one match that has thrown up a fair number of draws is Aston Villa and Everton 12/5. Everton were very impressive the other night against United and are difficult side to break down, Villa on the other hand had a limp defeat away, but being Lamberts first game at home, they should play better.
Sheffield Wednesday 11/10 at home to a struggling Millwall. Wednesday have carried on from last season, although I don't expect it to continue, they should be good enough.
Notts County 4/5 will have way to much for a poor Walsall side
Oxford 8/11 have a good home record and facing a struggling Plymouth side should take all three points
Ross County 6/4 have started life well in the SPL and should have enough to record victory at Dundee
Two stonewall games but with little value Partick at 4/9 and Queen of the South 4/9
1 point wins on each of the above
21st August 2012
Current points down 8.6 I know that's not pretty reading but its early days and and after some strange results at the weekend , things will settle down. I feel that a few matches tonight can be the start of better things.
Watford 6/5 had a good away win at the weekend albeit late. Zola has a point to prove and a home win tonight will be just the thing.
Brentford 4/5, nice away point at the weekend, finished well last season and should pick up three points tonight.
Notts County 8/11, again a good away win at the weekend, against a poor Hartlepool, tonight a home win is the only result
Doncaster 3/4 Now Dean Saunders has got rid of some of last seasons show ponies a home win is on the cards against a lacklustre Bury
Shrewsbury 6/4 didn't lose a home game all of last season and should kickoff tonight with three points
Aldershot 5/4 one of my tips on the handicap. Solid start at the weekend
Morecambe 17/10 A good away win on Saturday from the usually quick starting side, so we'll back them before they hit the buffers
A 1 point win on each of the above should make a tidy little profit
17th August 2012
After a somewhat poor start to the season 3.8 pt loss I aim to get things back on track. There are a few matches this weekend with some value to be had. A good few odds on shots I feel may make some small profit, I will list them below
MK Dons 8/11
Queens Park 4/7
These are of small interest only as I go after slightly bigger fish
My selections for this weekend are as follows 1 point win on each of the matches below
QPR 11/10 very good home record and especially against Swansea. Lots of transfer action involving both teams and Mark Hughes has a chance now to put his own stamp on the team. Swansea will undoubtedly miss Joe Allen.
Swindon 6/4 really good record at Hartlepool and a very impressive win last weekend.
Stenhousemuir 6/5 beat todays opponents 4-0 two weeks ago I don't see a reversal here
Middlesboro 11/8 up against a team who will be relegation fodder this year.
We have a new addition to the site, Footie Man has joined us and his thoughts are listed below. All points will be covered under the Fourmilewater umbrella.
Footie Man, has joined the team and I hope he'll be making a profit for all you soccer followers.
My three tips for the opening weekend are three away wins, and here are my selections. 1 point win for each
Premier League predictions 2012/13 By Footie Man
Another Premier league season is upon us and although it will be very difficult to live up to the dramatics of last season where the title was one with a stoppage-time goal from Sergio Aguero, this promises to be a very exciting season where we are all filled with hope yet again.
With the on-going saga of Robin Van Persie tormenting Arsenal fans in another summer in which they see another one of their best players wanting out, Wenger uncharacteristically has splashed the cash on big name players including Olivier Giroud, Lukas Podolski and Santi Cazorla. These purchases might be geared towards showing RVP that Arsenal does have some ambition.
Depends on RVP, Cazorla could prove to be a great signing
Arsenal’s Achilles heel, the defence, left back and more cover at centre-half are big issues
A new manager brings new hope to Villa Park, Paul Lambert was a revelation at Norwich and now he wants to prove himself at a bigger club. Lambert has replaced James Collins with Ron Vlaar the Dutch international, besides this there hasn’t been much activity in the transfer market. He has a very youthful squad to work and with the return of Darren Bent it should be a solid season for Villa.
Darren Bent scored a goal every other game for Villa so much of their season will depend on his form.
With the arrival of Ron Vlaar, a partnership between himself and Richard Dunne would have a real lack of pace so they could struggle
After winning the Champions League last May, Roman Abramovich has spent serious dollars this summer bringing in Brazilian starlet Oscar, Marko Marin, and future superstar Edin Hazard. It will remain to be seen however how fast these guys settle in to life at London. With the departure of Didier Drogba, Fernando Torres has serious boots to fill.
Fernando Torres, Chelsea’s fortunes depend on whether this man will deliver the goods this season.
Right-back, David Luiz, the three new faces they have brought in lack strength and will get pushed off the ball to easily, If Fernando Torres gets injured they have no strikers to turn too for goals.
Once again David Moyes has a limited budget to deal with and has to rely on very shroud signings, Steven Pienaar being one. With the departure of Jack Rodwell to ManchesterCity for a reported 15million pounds and the future of Leighton Baines uncertain yet again, Moyes will have his work cut out.
Nikica Jelavic, Everton improved dramatically when he arrived last January. He was one of the reasons they finished above their Merseyside rivals last season scoring 9 goals.
Steven Pienaar will have a major part to play in Everton’s season also.
Sounds like a broken record for Everton every season but, a lack of depth in their squad.
Martin Jol has added to his attacking options this summer with the arrivals of Hugo Rodallega and Ivan Petric and with some of the old guard moving on it promises to be another solid mid-table finish for the Cottagers, however it still remains to be seen where Clint Dempsey’s future lies.
If Dempsey departs, then it will be Moussa Dembele’s time to shine.
Could do with a right-back, with Danny Murphy’s departure it has left a gapping hole in the middle of midfield, a swap deal with Liverpool’s Charlie Adam plus cash deal for Clint Dempsey could be on the cards.
New manager Brendan Rodgers will be introducing a new brand of football to the Kop this season. The so called Tika-Taka style has excited the current crop of Liverpool players, he has even persuaded Luis Suarez to sign an extension to his four-year contract.
A couple of stalwarts have left the club but he has brought in his own Joe Allen and Fabio Borini.
Luis Suarez, the team will be based around this man. The fans will want a full and successful season from their captain Steven Gerrard also.
Even with Andy Carroll staying at the club Liverpool still look a bit light up front and will ultimately struggle for goals again this season.
With the City faithful still digesting what happened on May 13th, Mancini has been voicing concerns over funds for players even with the purchase of Jack Rodwell. Having given up on RVP, when really to be honest they didn’t need another striker, Mancini is in the market for a centre-back, Daniel Agger being the prime target.
There isn’t just one key player in City’s team, but if they want to retain the title the partnership between Sergio Aguero and Carlos Tevez will be key.
Centre-back, with City looking like they are going to employ a 3-5-2 system this year they will need more options at centre-back, and with Liverpool’s 25million valuation of Daniel Agger a stumbling block, Mancini may have to look elsewhere.
The last day of last season will be etched into the minds of all United fans and players alike and nobody is hurting more than Alex Ferguson. He seems more determined than ever to win back the Premier League crown. You would have expected United to splash the cash this summer after finishing second, but with only the arrival of Shinji Kagawa and youngster Nick Powell, it will be tough for them to win back the Premier league from their rivals this year.
With Arsenal reluctant to sell RVP to one of their closest rivals, the focus will still be on Wayne Rooney this season.
Rio Ferdinand and Patrice Evra are losing their touch so will be liabilities this season. Paul Scholes can’t play every week, so there is still a creative void that needs to be filled in the heart of the United midfield.
I don’t the see Newcastle being able to repeat the astonishing 5th place they achieved last season but they will still be hanging around the Europa League places this season. Alan Pardew has not made strides in the transfer window this summer but hasn’t let go of any of his main stars either and there is still amid rumours that one Andy Carroll might make the return back up to Tyneside.
Yohan Cabaye is the man that pulls the strings in the Newcastle midfield, but much will depend on Papiss Cisse, if he can continue his remarkable goal scoring from the second half of last season.
Lack of depth in their squad. If the Geordies have faint hopes of a top four finish this season they will need a couple of new faces in their defence also.
The departure of Paul Lambert has left Chris Hughton with big boots to fill. He will have a massive task of keeping Norwich in the Premier League this season. With relatively no activity in the transfer market either it is an uphill task already for the Canaries. You get the feeling they are going to be hit with second-season-syndrome this year.
Much will depend on Grant Holt goal-scoring exploits this season.
Defence. They conceded 66 goals last season, that’s almost 2 goals a game. They will need to bolster their defence before the end of August.
As we expected QPR have gone out and bought a whole host of new faces including, Junior Hoillet, Rob Green, Fabio, Andy Johnson, Ryan Nelsen and Ji-SungPark. They have also got rid of a lot of the dead wood in the squad. This season should prove to be a very solid one for Mark Hughes and his players.
Ji-SungPark will play a major role in Q.P.R’s season and also the craft of Junior Hoillet and Adel Taarabt.
Q.P.R had the worst defensive record in the league last season and it wouldn’t hurt to bolster their centre-back options. Their captain Joey Barton is suspended for the first 10 games of the season, although that could help their cause.
Brian McDermott did a great job in getting Reading promoted last season, and with new wealthy Russian owners taking over he has great financial backing, but he hasn’t spent much only on the former Fulham striker Pavel Pogrebnyak , Adrian Mariappa and former Reading left-back Nicky Shorey.
Much of Reading’s bid to stay in the Premier League will come down to Pavel Pogrebnyak’s fortunes in front of goal.
Relatively no creative force in midfield, so ultimately they will struggle to survive.
Southampton will be an exciting side to watch this year, there are a lot of goals in their side in the form of, Rickie Lambert, Billy Sharp, Adam Lallana and Jay Rodriguez but nearly none of their players have played in the Premiership before except for Steven Davis who will be crucial to the Saints this year.
Rickie Lambert scored 27 goals last season so he will be relied upon to do the business if Southampton have hopes of staying in the Premier league.
They will concede goals this season which will ultimately be their downfall.
Stoke once again will employ their predictable, long-ball, ugly direct style of play once again this season. It is up to the other teams in the league to wise-up to it and if they do Stoke could struggle this season, but the Brittania being the fortress that it is, Stoke shouldn’t have any trouble retaining their Premier league status for another year at least.
Peter Crouch’s arrival was a huge hit at Stoke last year, and his goals should prove to be the difference between Stoke staying up and going down this season. The defensive partnership of Robert Huth and Ryan Shawcross is very solid aswell.
The middle of the park, they have no creative spark in their team whatsoever.
In contrast to last season this transfer market has been quiet as far as Sunderland are concerned. The departure of Nicklas Bendtner has left a vacancy for a marquee signing up front for Martin O’ Neill and with Steven Fletcher the main target he might be the man to solve Sunderland’s goal scoring problems.
Stephane Sessegnon was a key member of Martin O’ Neill’s team last season and he will be the main man again this season.
Need a goal scorer up front, Steven Fletcher looks like the man that will fill that void though, Back line is a bit thin even with the arrival of Carlos Cuellar
When Brendan Rodgers left Swansea it was a real blow to the club, but with the arrival of one of the best players of all time, Michael Laudrup, to the Liberty Stadium, the fans could be forgiven for feeling optimistic for the up coming season. The departures of Gylfi Sigurdsson and Joe Allen and the possibility of losing Scott Sinclair though could enhance the Swans relegation chances.
Much depends on the future of Scott Sinclair, but the arrival of Michu a guy who scored 15 goals from midfield last season in La Liga could prove to be a real shroud signing by Laudrup.
Steven Caulker returning to Tottenham has left a vacancy in the heart of the defence and Joe Allen leaving for Liverpool means Swansea don’t have a creative force in midfield.
Harry Redknapp leaving in the summer after leading Spurs to a 4th place finish raised a few eyebrows and enraged some sections of the Spurs faithful but with the arrival of Andre Villas-Boas brings new hope to White Heart Lane. You get the impression with AVB though that he is trying to hard to get one over on Chelsea rather than focusing on Tottenham and with the imminent departure of Luka Modric and a serious lack of strikers this will be another year without champions league for Spurs I’m afraid.
Gareth Bale, after commiting himself to the club in the summer this has to be the season that Bale performs to his full potential.
Up front, with Spurs looking reluctant to pay Emmanuel Adebayor’s wages they need to bolster their attacking options with one or even two strikers.
West Bromwich Albion
With Steve Clarke finally getting to prove himself as a manager after being a number two for so long, he has a tough job following up the good work layed down by Roy Hodgson.
With not much cash to spend either this could prove to be a difficult season for the Baggies.
Shane Long & Peter Odemwingie, it they can click and get into goal scoring form I would think that West Brom would just about survive.
Lack of cover at the back could hurt them this season.
West Ham United
Big Sam is back in the Premier League with West Ham and he plans to stay there. He has dipped into the transfer market big-time with purchases such as, James Collins, Mohammed Diame, Jussi Jaaskelainnen, and Modibo Maiga. The Upton Park faithful didn’t like the style in which Allardyce played last season but it looks like that will be employed again if they want to stay in the Premiership.
Kevin Nolan, the West Ham captain will need to contribute to making and scoring goals this season if the Hammers have hope of survival.
Lack of strength in depth in midfield and defence.
What are the chances of Wigan repeating their heroics of last season? You just never know with Martinez’s men and this season will be no different. The departures however of high-profile players such as Mohammed Diame and Hugo Rodallega and the possibility of Victor Moses leaving for Chelsea, leave Wigan with serious problems.
Depends on the future of Victor Moses, this could be the season that Franco di Santo comes of age.
They leak goals and don’t score them, a bad combination.
Football league preview 10th August 2012-08
I feel that this division will be more competitive than ever. Interesting to see that only one of the favourites in the last 12 years has won the league that being Man City in 2001. A lot of pundits have been extolling the virtues of Bolton, I just don’t see it at all, and the reason why is Owen Coyle, yes he took little fancied Burnley up but when things started to slide he jumped ship to Bolton and what happened. He got them on the slide and eventually he took them down. I know they had a few injuries last year but that’s no excuse. Playoffs at best. What can you say about Blackburn nothing much really. It beggars belief that the owners keep faith in a manager who is about as clueless as they are, after selling their best player in Hoillett I don’t see them anywhere but mid table. As for Wolves, they have kept together much of the squad from last year, which wasn’t any good. I’m afraid Ward at left back just doesn’t do it for me; he’s like Rip Van Winkle, asleep when it matters. I feel that they will be on the fringes of the playoffs.
So what about the rest
I feel that Leicester will be the team to beat. Nigel Pearson has had time to have a good look at things and they can push on to the title. Hull City will be there or thereabout, Steve Bruce has bought well and should make the playoffs along with Blackpool and Cardiff and don’t rule out Brighton. Leeds and Forest are being touted in certain quarters but I feel they will just fall short. I don’t see any of the newly promoted sides being involved in promotion, more mid to lower reaches.
At the bottom Barnsley where on a downward spiral last year and they should complete that this year along with Peterborough and Bristol City to make up the bottom three.
In Division 1 Sheffield United are hot enough favourites to go up, based on last year’s showing even without their leading scorer from last year who is doing his time at Her Majesty’s Pleasure they will probably have enough, but I don’t think it will be a run away. The perennial underachievers MK Dons won’t be far behind, but the side to watch are Nott’s County who had a great second half to last season and the momentum should drive them on and at +16 in the handicap should be seriously considered.
In Division 2, I have heard lots of talk about Bristol Rovers being the side to beat, I just don’t get where they are coming from. An average mid table finish and a mid table second half to the season suggest to me that they won’t be in the shake up. Sides that come up from the conference usually do well and Fleetwood will be no exception to that, although they sold the star man (Vardy) from last year, they have spent well and should make the promotion places, along with Rotherham and dare I say Torquay. Two sides to look out for on the handicap are Aldershot at + 24 who had the fifth best second half to the season and have strengthened well, the other side is + 20 Port Vale although financial constraints could jeopardise things.
There are some reasonable prices to be had in the relegation stakes in this division with Barnet quoted at 11/4 and Dagenham at 9/2, these two sides have been hanging on by the fingernails for a while and the grip will finally loosen this time.
A couple of matches this week end to consider
Nott’s County 4/5
Forest Green 6/5
1 point win for each of the above
Four Mile Racing
Evens for the weekend with Dundee United and Morton doing the business with the other two matches giving us draws so an overall loss of 0.88 pt . I'll be previewing the other leagues on friday.
3rd august Scottish soccer preview
For the absolute die-hards amongst us, who keep an eye on what happens at Stenhousemuir and such like.
SPL, can anyone stop Celtic , in a word no. Who will finish second, I think Dundee United are the best bet to do that. They had a slow start to the season last year but finished like a train, they have a good finisher in Jon Daly so I expect them to just to pip Hearts and Motherwell. The rest of the division should be pretty tight and the battle for relegation between Dundee, Inverness and Hibs who under Pat Fenlon didn't really improve a great deal, I know they made the Cup Final, but got rightly stuffed.
In the first division I feel that Falkirk are the team to beat, they had decent cup form and were in the top two or three for most of the season. As for relegation the sides that come up generally go back down so its bye bye Cowdenbeath. The second division I feel will be a straight fight between Queen of the South and Arbroath. In Division 3 Rangers will be the obvious candidates, but Stranraer and Peterhead should be in the play off picture.
Looking at this weekends fixtures, don't see to many upsets
Dundee united win 8/11
1 point wins on the above
Fourmileracing Premier League Preview 19th July 2012
Another season upon us, Man City having won their first title with virtually the last kick and Spain making history with a master class in the final. Let’s hope the new season will be just as high-quality.
No more tiki taka it’s kick and rush at its best.
I realize that the transfer window is open for a bit longer so I will update further closer to the kick off.
Looking at things in the cold light of day, the Manchester clubs are still the sides to beat, although Chelsea has been strengthening. The curious thing is both Chelsea and united are after Brazilians, who going by history have always been a failure in this league.
Arsenal still in negotiation with Van Persie about a new contract. Although when players and their agents make noises like they have done lately - the writing is usually on the wall. Will Wenger be brave and chance Walcott up front, with his pace he can certainly run in behind defenders and he has shown he can score when through on goal, as a winger he’s worse at crosses than Dracula.
Spurs could suit Villas Boa down to the ground, with their attack minded football, the question marks will be can he motivate the players enough as he couldn’t do it at Chelsea, can he hang on to Modric and if they get Adebayor , how long before he creates trouble.
Newcastle certainly overachieved last season but Pardew bought well and seems to have a good scouting system in place especially in France, the concern will be that Cisse will no longer be an unknown quantity and doubt hangs in the air about Ba.
Everton, can they get off to a quick start for once if they do- they might have a good season. They were solid enough last year and have Jelavic who knows where the net is.
Liverpool if Brendan Rodgers is given time I feel he should be able to turn Liverpool around, but he’ll need to change some personnel to fit in with his passing system e.g. Henderson.
Fulham provide a stern test for anyone at home but away they have been a disaster for years, if they lose the goals of Clint Dempsey they may struggle.
West Brom will be interesting; they got to mid table safety without setting the world on fire. The concern would be the manager who has been a successful number 2 but never the main man and often the step up is too much for most.
Swansea has to face life without Rodgers, they should have enough to stay up as they will have plenty of possession, the worry will be if teams follow Everton’s example of last year, they may things tougher
Norwich I feel will have second season syndrome and could be looking anxiously over their shoulders come May
Sunderland tailed of badly after the initial O’Neill factor, I see them as draw specialist this year. My concern is at the back where the former united cast offs are another year older and slower.
Stoke -what a dog of a side, the time comes for a team built on size to come a cropper. Their goal difference of minus 17 says a lot, and goals for was the worst in the division. Home form may just save them
Wigan surprised a lot of people with the run they went on, if they can start better and play with the same freedom the top ten is not beyond them
Aston villa- can they improve on last year’s Annus Horribilis only slightly I fear , they should be slightly more solid with Lambert in charge, fans will be hoping bent can find his shooting boots but if he gets injured another team with squeaky bum time
QPR seem to be buying everyone they can so they might have enough players there for two teams. At times they showed great fighting spirit, lots of red cards proved that. Again home form the key
Southampton only one place their going and that’s back to whence they came
West ham will survive just if they can get a goal scorer or two
Reading, I foresee a long hard struggle, if they get a few injuries then they’ll be on the championship bus.
The key to staying up or a successful season is picking up points at home , last season only three sides picked up more points away from home West Brom, Wolves and Bolton and two of them were relegated
Your comments would be most welcome.
I will be updating the premier league site in a couple of weeks when I will look at the transfer histories and what effect they have. Previews of the championship and other English and Scottish leagues will appear shortly.
I will also be taking a look at La Liga nearer to their kick off