Killarney 3 45. COOLFIGHTER is upped in trip today and I am expecting him to win and with a bit to spare. The outside draw has done us no favours at all but cannot be used as an excuse nor can the lightning fast ground conditions. The chesnut son of Black Sam Bellamy is very versatile regards ground.He is still only settling in since we bought him in Germany and will only really come to himself around Christmas time as it takes most horses around six months or more to acclimatise when switching countries.

He needed his first run at Tipperary when a very close third and backed that up at Gowran in a 0-100 all aged handicap when going under by less than three lengths to the very useful 3 y old Manalapan. The up and coming rising star apprentice Conor King rode him that time and immediately booked himself for the mount today.

Tony Mullins [ trainer] reports the horse to be in very good fettle for today’s exam and predicts he will go very close and says he cannot wait to face him over hurdles with a big Spring campaign in mind.

This has been the plan since Gowran and I think his price of the still available 5/1 with pp and the 6/1 with Bet 365 is great value and I am advising a 3 pts win and nap at those odds.

Baden Baden 5 20, Race 9. NOCTURNE is on a steep upward curve and she can complete the hat trick despite her big weight. She is beautifully bred and her shrewd connections will be expecting another win. The form of her Class 3 handicap win at Dusseldorf earlier this month was boosted here at Baden on Thursday by the third home that day Santillana who won well in a class 2. Peter Schiergen has kept the Stall Nizza owned 3 y old to a class 3 today and the hint should be taken. I will be surprised if she is beaten. She can race anywhere so pace should not be an issue and while she can take a keen hold I feel she will be fine with a bit of cover. I think RaceBets are overpricing her at a generous 7/2. 1 pt win at that.

I hope the day goes well as there is a lot invested. Only bet what you can absolutely afford to lose. No matter what happens this site will always show a big profit overall, as the first two years have demonstrated but there can be bad individual days so please be careful. I hope today is not one of those. I don’t expect it to be.

The very best of luck. Come on Coolfighter……………………


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