BACK ON TRACK, G AND G ON WED.
After deductions we made 4.5 pts so starting Wed the site is only minus 1/2 pt. The nap won easily and Supplicant would have won with a clear run. Today looks tough.
Goodwood 1 55.
GASSIN GOLF carries the welter burden of 9-10 and top weight in this brutally tough event. He has a major chance. His shrewd trainer will have him ready after his last run at the Punchestown festival in April. He has very good course form in 2 runs where he just got caught flat flooted over too short a trip but today’s monster distance should bring his bottomless stamina into serious play. I love his chance so 1 pt win at 20/1 with PP and Bet 365.
Goodwood 2 30.
EXCESS KNOWLEDGE seems sure to step up from his seasonal debut run in a hot contest at Sandown. He is by sire of the moment Monsun and therefore the extra distance today should allow him to show how smart he is. I rate him a 2 pts win at a general 2/1 with most bookmakers.
Goodwood 3 05.
I am going for DECLARATION OF WAR to topple these so called ” great” 3 y olds, Toronado and Dawn Approach. My colleague, Nick Mordin is on similar lines. He correctly argues that the younger brigade are not really that super fast and that the older O’Brien horse is bang there with them on the numbers. The O’Brien horse is very talented and is ridiculously versatile regarding trip, track and ground conditions. The 5/1 is just too big so therefore he is the value. 1 pt win at that price with PP and others.
Goodwood 3 40.
Hannon’s horse is all the rage here but I am not so sure. He was impressive on debut but this is a big step up, maybe he will, maybe he wont. His price is ridiculous in any case. Parbold has the form in the book and is the one to beat. OUTSTRIP might do them both. His debut win was striking and at the 11/2 that PP are offering it’s a no brainer of a bet. 1 pt win at that juicy price.
Galway Plate 5 30.
The usual puzzle. I will simply tip ROMANESCO. He is well weighted , all ground conditions come alike and is now an experienced battle hardened young chaser. 1 pt win at general 8/1.
I will update rest of card later.