Putting myself under pressure with this advice in just a 3 runner race but it looks gilt edged. CARRIGMORNA KING is not a fluent jumper and has risks but the fav Arthurs Pass is a potential candidate for the bounce factor and the other runner is almost certain to do just that and is a poor enough jumper and is nearly certain not to stay the trip.
A negative for Carrigmorna is Richard Johnson as he will almost certainly find trouble even in this 3 runner field and I have little faith in him as a rule but he has plenty of supporters and I am sure the likeable Englishman will prove me wrong . I hope he does as he is on the best horse in the race and being best fresh the gelding must surely win this.
The price of 2/1 with PP is hopefully a gift.