Starting out on plus 13 and I hope to add to that today. I have a nap but with one worry.

Keempton 3 15 , LAC FONTANA is a terrific bet on one condition – the dreaded ” bounce ” factor. I explained the bounce factor before to you. It is when an animal has been off the track for a long period [ like Lac Fontana ] and comes out and runs a huge race after the lay off. The horse is then returned to the track pretty quickly and can run dismally because the initial run has bottomed him/her and the trainer has not been on the ball either through lack of knowledge , laziness or both. There is no other excuse as a simple blood test would tell them how the animal is.

I hand it over to you Champion trainer Paul Nicholls today in the shape of Lac Fontana.You are returning my nap, Lac Fontana, to the track just 14 days after he ran huge to finish second to the high class Chatterbox at Newbury. Make no mistake this horse is miles clear of this field both on ability and all ratings and he is receiving a whopping 16 pounds [ yes, 16] from second favourite Brick Red due to weight for age and penalties and so on. I trust the horse will be in top shape and that being so he should toy with these. The useful ex flat horse and hurdles debutant Black Spirit can chase him home, albeit at a distance. No pressure Paul Nicholls !!

3 points win LAC FONTANA 15/8 with Paddy Power and others. Bet Victor goes 2/1.

More soon….


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